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Global Strategic Trends - out to 2040
이름 : 미래연구팀 | 작성일 : 2016.08.11 | 조회수 : 11055

Global Strategic Trends - out to 2040

 

 

The need for defence to understand the future strategic context was articulated in the Strategic Defence Review (1998), which confirmed the long-term nature of defence planning and the need for a wide-ranging understanding of the future strategic environment.  Global Strategic Trends provides a measure of context and coherence in an area characterised by transition, risk, ambiguity and change.

 

The DCDC approach goes beyond solely identifying potential future defence and security challenges to which our Armed Forces will have to respond, and looks at the developments in areas that will shape the wider strategic context within which defence will have to interact.  For example, the document addresses subjects such as: the shifting global balance of power; emerging demographic and resource challenges; as well as climate change and societal changes. 

 

One of the strengths of the Global Strategic Trends assessment is its relative independence from wider defence decision-making.  Consequently, Global Strategic Trends is able to inform defence decisions, without being constrained by the latest good idea, fashionable trend or received wisdom.  Some of the findings in Global Strategic Trends will, therefore, challenge views which derive from existing or transient circumstances, instead drawing on long-term trends and the enduring features of the strategic context. 

This edition of Global Strategic Trends has contributed towards the Defence Green Paper. 

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